Professor Gary Collins is a 125th Anniversary Chair and Professor of Medical Statistics in the Department of Applied Health Sciences, at the University of Birmingham, and a NIHR Senior Investigator. He became Director of the UK EQUATOR Centre in 2019. His primary research interests are primarily focussed on aspects surrounding the development and validation multivariable prediction models (design, analysis and reporting).
In 2010, he established an international initiative to develop the TRIPOD reporting recommendations published in 2015 for studies developing and validating clinical prediction models. He led an update to these recommendations in 2024 to cover models developed using artificial intelligence and machine learning methods (TRIPOD+AI) and large language models (TRIPOD-LLM).
Gary has also been involved in other guidance for artificial intelligence and machine learning studies in healthcare, including
- STARD-AI - for AI based diagnostic test accuracy studies
- DECIDE-AI - for early-stage live clinical evaluation of AI systems
- CONSORT-AI / SPIRIT-AI - for AI intervention studies
- CHART - for evaluating chatbots providing medical advice
Gary has also developed numerous other reporting guidelines for other study designs, including
- GATHER statement for studies providing global health estimates
- AGReMA statement for mediation analyses
- 2025 update of SPIRIT and CONSORT guidelines for clinical trials
- SPIRIT-Surrogate and CONSORT-Surrogate for trials with surrogate endpoints
He has more than 500 peer-reviewed articles (Google Scholar), editorials and commentaries, including 90 in the ‘big 6′ medical journals.